Thursday, April 17, 2008

An example of a misplayed limit hold'em hand

This is an excellent example of how frustrating a bloggament can be. Anonymity has been preserved for the villain in this hand, but let's be very clear: this player busted out way short of the final table. Sadly, he took a bunch of my chips with him.

Full Tilt Poker, Limit Hold'em Tournament, 150/300 Stakes, 9 Players

UTG+2: 2,520
Hero (MP1): 5,045
MP2: 2,615
CO: 8,950
BTN: 3,395
SB: 6,700
BB: 4,385
UTG: 3,840
UTG+1: 1,815

Pre-Flop: (225) Q K dealt to Hero (MP1)
3 folds, Hero raises to 300, 2 folds, BTN calls 300, 2 folds

Completely standard situation preflop. I open-raise when it's folded to me and the button cold calls two bets preflop.

Flop: (825) Q 6 8 (2 Players)
Hero bets 150, BTN raises to 300, Hero raises to 450, BTN calls 150

I figure to have the best hand and charge the button the maximum for his draw or worse one-pair hand.

Turn: (1,725) 9 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 300, Hero calls 300

I slow down on the turn and decide to call down.

River: (2,325) 5 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 300, Hero calls 300

I'm not folding here but I have the impression I'm going to puke at showdown.

Results: 2,925 Pot
Hero mucked Q K (a pair of Queens) and LOST (-1,350 NET)
BTN showed J T (a straight, Queen high) and WON 2,925 (+1,575 NET)

I really, really go on tilt for a moment or two as I realize the villain drew to a gutshot straight draw on a two-tone flop with no spades.

The moral of the story: the play by villain here is hugely -EV, as he was drawing here in this situation to a mere 3 clean outs (the 9s is very tainted). Dodging mines like this is essential in the BBT3 bloggaments. This hand knocked a lot of wind out of my sails and I lost 3 crucial races late to bust out about two-thirds of the way to the final table (30th of 90 or so.)

By far the most crucial skill to go deep in bloggaments (besides getting lucky) is situation selection. A disciplined player in the villain's shoes would have done well to dump this hand on the flop instead of gambolling it up with a very, very longshot draw (4:1 against) to win two big bets after putting in several bets as a huge dog. He's just not getting the requisite implied odds to continue here.

1 comment:

NumbBono said...

Interesting post, kind of looks like this one.