Full Tilt Poker, Limit Hold'em Tournament, 150/300 Stakes, 9 Players
UTG+2: 2,520
Hero (MP1): 5,045
MP2: 2,615
CO: 8,950
BTN: 3,395
SB: 6,700
BB: 4,385
UTG: 3,840
UTG+1: 1,815
Pre-Flop: (225) Q
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3 folds, Hero raises to 300, 2 folds, BTN calls 300, 2 folds
Completely standard situation preflop. I open-raise when it's folded to me and the button cold calls two bets preflop.
Flop: (825) Q
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Hero bets 150, BTN raises to 300, Hero raises to 450, BTN calls 150
I figure to have the best hand and charge the button the maximum for his draw or worse one-pair hand.
Turn: (1,725) 9
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Hero checks, BTN bets 300, Hero calls 300
I slow down on the turn and decide to call down.
River: (2,325) 5
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Hero checks, BTN bets 300, Hero calls 300
I'm not folding here but I have the impression I'm going to puke at showdown.
Results: 2,925 Pot
Hero mucked Q
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BTN showed J
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I really, really go on tilt for a moment or two as I realize the villain drew to a gutshot straight draw on a two-tone flop with no spades.
The moral of the story: the play by villain here is hugely -EV, as he was drawing here in this situation to a mere 3 clean outs (the 9s is very tainted). Dodging mines like this is essential in the BBT3 bloggaments. This hand knocked a lot of wind out of my sails and I lost 3 crucial races late to bust out about two-thirds of the way to the final table (30th of 90 or so.)
By far the most crucial skill to go deep in bloggaments (besides getting lucky) is situation selection. A disciplined player in the villain's shoes would have done well to dump this hand on the flop instead of gambolling it up with a very, very longshot draw (4:1 against) to win two big bets after putting in several bets as a huge dog. He's just not getting the requisite implied odds to continue here.
1 comment:
Interesting post, kind of looks like this one.
http://www.donkeysdraw.com/2008/04/all-the-right-reads-in-the-world-cant-help-you-sometimes/
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