Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Overbetting for value, Pt. 2

It just didn't work this time out. After the first break of the single stack Mookie, I targeted the big stack at the new table I'd been moved to in an attempt to double through and build a big stack for the late game.

Here's what I did.

Hand #1:

Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 60/120 Blinds, 9 Players

UTG+1: 2,183
UTG+2: 7,769
MP1: 1,210
MP2: 5,520
CO: 1,995
BTN: 2,605
SB: 2,352
Hero (BB): 2,874
UTG: 1,905

Pre-Flop: (180) A A dealt to Hero (BB)
2 folds, UTG+2 raises to 369, 5 folds, Hero calls 249

Flop: (798) T 6 9 (2 Players)
Hero bets 2,505 and is All-In, UTG+2 folds

Results: 798 Pot
Hero mucked A A and WON 798 (+429 NET)

I tried a flop OBFV hoping a hand like JJ-KK would stack off, or get a light call by KT or a pair + straight draw. No dice this time, however.

Hand #2:

Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 80/160 Blinds, 8 Players

SB: 1,823
BB: 7,160
UTG: 1,030
UTG+1: 2,475
MP1: 2,425
MP2: 3,132
Hero (CO): 3,123
BTN: 1,725

Pre-Flop: (240) A K dealt to Hero (CO)
Hero raises to 500, BB calls 340

Flop: (1,080) 8 7 T (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets 2,623 and is All-In, BB calls 2,623

Turn: (6,326) Q (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

River: (6,326) 7 (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

Results: 6,326 Pot
BB showed J J (two pair, Jacks and Sevens) and WON 6,326 (+3,203 NET)
Hero showed A K (a pair of Sevens) and LOST (-3,123 NET)

My range vs. JJ on the flop is way, way ahead: even with AKs I am a 53% favourite to win with two cards to come, and all my other possible hands are made hands ahead of JJ right off the top.

Comments, questions? I like this strategy in a winner-take-all tournament series like the BBT3 where the cash prizes are largely irrelevant compared to the first place finish.


Schaubs said...

You essentially raced your stack with 20 BBs...

Not sure if that is too early or not, but I like your thinking with the winner take all mentality.

I guess you aren't folding to the points!

Schaubs said...

Oh and P.S. - Simon wants to know if you got some sex (for free?) while you were in Vegas.

Did Milner watch?

Simon said...

no no, i didnt ask you that! but if you did get some sex Sean a blog is where you gotta announce it

Shrike said...

That's Simon for you -- always stays on-topic when I post about tournament strategy.

You can put your mind back in the gutter when I put up the second installment of my Las Vegas report, I guess.

Alan aka RecessRampage said...

Seriously, stop posting silly hand histories and get back to the more important stuff. Like the Vegas trip report. Jeez.

So really, where did you get free sex?